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Red221
17524.8
17675.8
740787.1
Blue187
169966.9
19561.0
199132.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21318250100150200250300221187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+22Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points44
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +12
28Coral scored#26
99Coral points93
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
12Processor points18
24Net points12
36Algae points30
135Total teleop123
Reef
14L4#13
12L3#7
8L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
46Game pieces#41
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points6
221Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.10.1
86.686.7
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 20.2
66.90.2
67.166.9
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
Second
176
#2
75.80.1
75.375.3
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 14.8
195
#13
61.00.2
61.160.9
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
Third
175
#23
24.80.1
24.224.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
blue by 7.9
1991
#17
32.60.2
32.832.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5