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Red48
715325.9
514232.3
971020.4
Blue59
55815.9
997810.3
17528.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954601502002503004859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
23Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
48Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#19
32.32.3
35.433.1
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 3.4
175
#3
28.90.7
25.025.7
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
7153
#20
25.92.3
25.923.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
red by 10.0
558
#23
15.90.7
14.615.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Third
9710
#10
20.42.3
21.118.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.0
red by 10.1
9978
#11
10.31.2
5.97.1
Auto1.6
Teleop9.3
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed