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Red145
331467.4
109922.6
17661.4
Blue101
712750.3
99994.0
500035.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17993050150200250300145101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave9
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points10
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
97Total teleop76
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#5
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
145Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.40.3
61.160.8
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
red by 17.1
7127
#22
50.31.2
46.547.7
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Second
176
#14
61.40.3
65.164.8
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
red by 25.5
5000
#13
35.91.2
35.636.8
Auto13.1
Teleop19.5
End3.2
Third
1099
#26
22.60.3
23.323.0
Auto2.4
Teleop17.5
End2.8
red by 18.7
9999
#28
4.02.0
1.13.1
Auto0.6
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed