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Red135
17730.0
107123.2
632868.2
Blue171
740781.3
318215.6
83964.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115185050100150200250300135171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
15Coral scored#24
55Coral points85
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
89Total teleop123
Reef
5L4#12
7L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points6
135Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#18
68.21.3
65.867.1
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
blue by 13.1
81.30.4
81.081.4
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
Second
177
#9
30.01.3
29.630.9
Auto6.8
Teleop16.3
End6.9
blue by 34.0
839
#8
64.00.4
58.959.4
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
Third
1071
#17
23.21.3
20.421.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 7.7
3182
#21
15.60.4
18.518.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned