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Red100
206739.0
346433.0
514232.3
Blue160
99946.5
107349.8
715325.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181240200300400500100160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +22
3Leave3
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points38
19Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +28
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
65Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
100Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#25
39.00.5
39.839.3
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End7.6
blue by 10.7
49.82.9
46.249.1
Auto12.8
Teleop27.3
End9.8
Second
33.00.5
34.433.9
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
blue by 13.5
999
#5
46.52.9
46.949.8
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End2.5
Third
5142
#19
32.30.5
33.132.7
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 6.4
7153
#20
25.92.9
23.626.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned