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Red70
23713.2
808528.8
55815.9
Blue163
331467.4
17528.9
712750.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45160010020025030070163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+81
Endgame+95
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +33
3Leave6
3Coral scored#9
15Coral points45
18Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +48
9Coral scored#19
34Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
48Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#9
2L2#7
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
2Foul points0
70Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#15
28.80.9
26.827.7
Auto5.1
Teleop21.4
End2.3
blue by 38.6
67.41.9
60.862.8
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
Second
558
#23
15.90.9
15.316.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 34.4
7127
#22
50.31.9
47.749.6
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Third
237
#27
13.20.9
12.313.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 15.7
175
#3
28.91.9
25.727.6
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned