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Red168
971020.4
331467.4
740781.3
Blue85
514232.3
99946.5
107123.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20510905015025030016885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+45Teleop
+63Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
91Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
20Foul points0
168Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.32.5
82.279.6
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
red by 34.9
999
#5
46.52.3
47.945.6
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End2.5
Second
67.42.5
67.965.4
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
red by 35.1
5142
#19
32.32.3
36.434.1
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Third
9710
#10
20.42.5
24.822.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.0
blue by 2.9
1071
#17
23.22.3
24.522.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed