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Red198
442261.2
10363.4
16665.3
Blue176
511240.1
1065619.5
204682.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231161100200250300198176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+38Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
31Coral scored#27
112Coral points97
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
148Total teleop131
Reef
14L4#12
12L3#9
10L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
198Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#25
65.30.5
67.567.0
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
blue by 17.3
2046
#15
82.61.3
83.685.0
Auto17.3
Teleop57.3
End8.1
Second
103
#30
63.40.5
65.264.7
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
red by 23.3
5112
#60
40.11.3
36.337.6
Auto4.6
Teleop32.5
End3.1
Third
4422
#44
61.20.5
59.258.7
Auto13.4
Teleop39.4
End8.4
red by 41.7
19.51.3
16.117.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned