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Red176
419243.2
1003217.5
546077.7
Blue227
632983.3
35984.8
34064.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13527050100200250300350176227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+23
Endgame+43
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#10
44Coral points49
44Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +12
17Coral scored#23
62Coral points82
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
18Processor points18
32Net points24
50Algae points42
112Total teleop124
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#12
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
4Foul points12
176Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#11
77.71.9
77.579.4
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
blue by 7.1
359
#10
84.82.3
86.384.0
Auto17.3
Teleop54.0
End13.5
Second
4192
#66
43.21.9
41.543.4
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End3.3
blue by 40.2
83.32.3
86.384.0
Auto21.0
Teleop51.8
End10.5
Third
17.51.9
13.115.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
blue by 46.7
340
#7
64.12.3
66.364.0
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned