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Red235
745797.1
107361.3
146636.6
Blue231
8881.0
126163.8
464667.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212230160180200220240260280300320235231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points42
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +4
35Coral scored#32
126Coral points114
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
18Processor points18
16Net points32
34Algae points50
160Total teleop164
Reef
22L4#19
14L3#9
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#3
52Game pieces#51
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
235Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.11.9
97.899.7
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
red by 16.1
88
#20
81.00.5
79.880.3
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
Second
1073
#21
61.31.9
60.262.2
Auto15.6
Teleop35.6
End10.1
blue by 6.2
67.50.5
64.465.0
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
Third
1466
#41
36.61.9
34.036.0
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End1.0
blue by 27.2
1261
#13
63.80.5
64.464.9
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned