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Red129
694156.0
353965.0
642133.5
Blue175
114849.7
149860.3
335445.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18016050100200250129175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +58
14Coral scored#24
51Coral points85
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
69Total teleop127
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#9
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
129Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#27
65.02.5
69.066.5
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
red by 4.6
1498
#71
60.30.9
57.558.4
Auto13.8
Teleop39.3
End7.2
Second
6941
#73
56.02.5
56.854.3
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 6.3
1148
#38
49.70.9
49.850.8
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
Third
6421
#61
33.52.5
35.533.0
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
blue by 11.6
3354
#59
45.00.9
41.742.6
Auto8.2
Teleop35.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned