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Red159
765738.1
661561.5
310053.8
Blue102
683828.0
87057.0
264037.3
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17713950100200250159102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
31Coral scored#16
110Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
132Total teleop75
Reef
17L4#6
10L3#8
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
159Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#57
61.50.6
61.662.2
Auto13.5
Teleop47.9
End0.1
red by 4.6
870
#28
57.01.7
60.258.5
Auto13.7
Teleop36.1
End7.2
Second
3100
#40
53.80.6
53.454.0
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
red by 16.5
2640
#70
37.31.7
37.135.4
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
Third
7657
#50
38.10.6
35.335.9
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
red by 10.1
6838
#67
28.01.7
29.928.2
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed