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Red180
553044.5
425639.9
327684.2
Blue188
1051825.1
960968.7
2780.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180187120140160200220240180188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+12Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +22
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points81
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
24Processor points24
32Net points24
56Algae points48
151Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#9
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
180Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#42
84.21.1
81.682.6
Auto11.0
Teleop62.0
End11.2
red by 3.4
27
#18
80.81.4
75.777.2
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
Second
5530
#53
44.51.1
43.444.5
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
blue by 24.2
9609
#31
68.71.4
67.368.7
Auto12.0
Teleop48.4
End8.4
Third
4256
#72
39.91.1
38.839.9
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End5.3
red by 14.7
25.11.4
23.725.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned