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Red207
461173.7
16665.3
86275.2
Blue163
565439.0
423766.3
347880.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246206100150300350207163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
108Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#8
6L2#6
8L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#35
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
12Foul points0
207Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#37
75.21.7
78.176.4
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
blue by 5.4
3478
#29
80.51.8
80.778.9
Auto19.0
Teleop50.5
End11.1
Second
73.71.7
75.273.5
Auto18.5
Teleop46.3
End9.0
red by 7.5
4237
#34
66.31.8
68.066.3
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
Third
166
#25
65.31.7
67.065.3
Auto13.7
Teleop41.5
End10.1
red by 26.3
5654
#49
39.01.8
40.739.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned