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Red149
85853.1
264231.7
10363.4
Blue212
34064.1
694853.3
317570.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174207100150250300149212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+51
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave9
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points42
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +23
23Coral scored#30
84Coral points107
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
122Total teleop145
Reef
13L4#17
5L3#8
7L2#10
2L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
149Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#30
63.41.3
64.763.4
Auto7.3
Teleop51.8
End4.3
blue by 7.4
3175
#32
70.71.0
69.870.7
Auto15.0
Teleop48.0
End7.7
Second
858
#55
53.11.3
54.353.1
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End0.4
blue by 11.0
340
#7
64.11.0
64.065.0
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Third
2642
#62
31.71.3
38.036.7
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
blue by 21.6
6948
#54
53.31.0
52.353.3
Auto10.8
Teleop40.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned