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Red207
479562.2
1065619.5
402079.5
Blue228
546077.7
448178.5
107361.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175254100150200300350207228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave9
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points56
37Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +17
26Coral scored#27
92Coral points97
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#7
30Processor points12
32Net points28
62Algae points40
154Total teleop137
Reef
11L4#13
14L3#14
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
207Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#17
79.52.1
78.480.5
Auto21.4
Teleop47.7
End10.4
red by 1.0
4481
#16
78.50.8
80.079.1
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
Second
4795
#46
62.22.1
60.162.2
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
blue by 15.5
5460
#11
77.70.8
79.478.6
Auto22.3
Teleop49.4
End6.1
Third
19.52.1
17.419.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End6.0
blue by 41.8
1073
#21
61.30.8
62.261.3
Auto15.6
Teleop35.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned