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Red237
632983.3
177189.9
139158.6
Blue227
149860.3
944273.0
306166.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256206100150300237227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+20
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
13Coral scored#10
65Coral points48
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +34
24Coral scored#27
86Coral points98
3Processor algae#6
8Net algae#9
18Processor points36
32Net points36
50Algae points72
136Total teleop170
Reef
19L4#14
7L3#8
7L2#10
4L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#52
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
237Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.90.0
88.388.3
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
red by 16.9
9442
#52
73.01.9
71.173.0
Auto13.9
Teleop57.7
End1.4
Second
83.30.0
84.084.0
Auto21.0
Teleop51.8
End10.5
red by 16.4
3061
#63
66.91.9
63.665.5
Auto17.0
Teleop45.1
End4.8
Third
1391
#45
58.60.0
58.658.6
Auto13.0
Teleop36.1
End9.6
blue by 1.7
1498
#71
60.31.9
58.460.3
Auto13.8
Teleop39.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed