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Red230
694156.0
170692.6
202252.4
Blue235
745797.1
716673.8
661561.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209257100150300350230235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
6Coral scored#13
32Coral points65
41Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +9
38Coral scored#22
135Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#14
12Processor points18
16Net points56
28Algae points74
163Total teleop154
Reef
15L4#12
14L3#10
10L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
230Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#36
92.61.6
92.293.8
Auto21.7
Teleop60.0
End10.9
blue by 4.5
97.10.7
99.799.1
Auto24.6
Teleop62.2
End10.2
Second
6941
#73
56.01.6
54.356.0
Auto12.5
Teleop37.3
End6.2
blue by 17.8
7166
#19
73.80.7
74.473.8
Auto18.6
Teleop45.7
End9.4
Third
2022
#64
52.41.6
50.852.4
Auto7.5
Teleop42.6
End2.3
blue by 9.2
6615
#57
61.50.7
62.261.5
Auto13.5
Teleop47.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned