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Red184
284772.0
126163.8
114849.7
Blue117
132932.5
683828.0
310053.8
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21711850100150200250300184117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
6Leave3
10Coral scored#1
52Coral points6
58Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points64
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
24Processor points12
12Net points16
36Algae points28
104Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#5
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
6Foul points0
184Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#23
72.01.1
73.172.0
Auto20.0
Teleop42.4
End9.5
red by 18.2
3100
#40
53.80.2
54.053.8
Auto5.2
Teleop40.6
End8.0
Second
1261
#13
63.81.1
64.963.8
Auto19.3
Teleop41.8
End2.6
red by 31.3
1329
#69
32.50.2
32.732.5
Auto4.1
Teleop27.2
End1.1
Third
1148
#38
49.71.1
50.849.7
Auto9.9
Teleop34.7
End5.0
red by 21.6
6838
#67
28.00.2
28.228.0
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned