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Red180
642133.5
8881.0
635236.9
Blue181
419243.2
331357.9
860871.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172197100150250180181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +3
23Coral scored#21
84Coral points75
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
12Processor points24
12Net points12
24Algae points36
108Total teleop111
Reef
13L4#9
10L3#5
3L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points0
180Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#20
81.00.5
80.380.8
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
red by 9.5
8608
#35
71.50.2
71.771.5
Auto19.5
Teleop41.5
End10.5
Second
6352
#68
36.90.5
36.436.9
Auto7.5
Teleop21.8
End7.5
blue by 21.0
3313
#56
57.90.2
58.157.9
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End9.0
Third
6421
#61
33.50.5
33.033.5
Auto8.2
Teleop20.3
End4.9
blue by 9.7
4192
#66
43.20.2
43.443.2
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned