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Red228
464667.5
2780.8
765738.1
Blue87
851365.6
1015433.5
264231.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20916910015025030022887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+139Teleop
+141Endgame
+141Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave0
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +104
33Coral scored#11
120Coral points40
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
24Processor points12
24Net points12
48Algae points24
168Total teleop64
Reef
17L4#3
11L3#5
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#1
52Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +141
0Foul points0
228Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#18
80.82.2
77.279.4
Auto18.6
Teleop51.4
End10.8
red by 15.3
8513
#22
65.65.1
70.765.6
Auto19.5
Teleop35.1
End11.0
Second
67.52.2
65.067.2
Auto13.3
Teleop46.3
End7.9
red by 34.0
33.55.1
38.633.5
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End4.4
Third
7657
#50
38.12.2
35.938.1
Auto8.8
Teleop29.1
End0.2
red by 6.4
2642
#62
31.75.1
36.731.7
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed