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Red180
300592.2
553044.5
146636.6
Blue177
264037.3
86275.2
264231.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204149100250300180177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points27
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
6Processor points18
32Net points24
38Algae points42
115Total teleop118
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#6
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
180Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#26
92.21.0
90.689.6
Auto19.8
Teleop61.8
End10.6
red by 17.0
862
#37
75.21.6
74.576.1
Auto16.0
Teleop45.8
End13.3
Second
5530
#53
44.51.0
56.855.8
Auto10.0
Teleop33.0
End1.5
red by 7.2
2640
#70
37.31.6
30.131.7
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
Third
1466
#41
36.61.0
33.232.2
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End1.0
red by 4.9
2642
#62
31.71.6
34.536.1
Auto6.5
Teleop23.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned