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Red243
34064.1
8881.0
423766.3
Blue194
479562.2
264037.3
346775.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224173100150200250300243194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+49Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +27
27Coral scored#24
97Coral points88
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#7
24Processor points18
40Net points28
64Algae points46
161Total teleop134
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#12
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
2Foul points0
243Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#20
81.01.5
81.182.6
Auto18.3
Teleop53.9
End8.8
red by 5.6
3467
#24
75.41.4
70.972.3
Auto14.4
Teleop51.8
End9.2
Second
4237
#34
66.31.5
59.160.6
Auto16.1
Teleop45.1
End5.2
red by 4.1
4795
#46
62.21.4
58.559.9
Auto10.9
Teleop50.2
End1.1
Third
340
#7
64.11.5
67.268.7
Auto16.9
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 26.9
2640
#70
37.31.4
31.733.2
Auto4.9
Teleop27.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned