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Red138
353965.0
419243.2
335445.0
Blue227
661561.5
448178.5
177189.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15126050100200300350138227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+49
Teleop+77
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +49
9Leave0
3Coral scored#14
14Coral points72
23Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +28
20Coral scored#26
71Coral points95
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
101Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#13
6L3#12
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
138Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#27
65.01.1
68.967.8
Auto16.8
Teleop41.8
End6.4
blue by 24.9
89.91.1
91.790.7
Auto27.2
Teleop52.2
End10.5
Second
3354
#59
45.01.1
36.935.8
Auto8.2
Teleop35.8
End1.0
blue by 33.5
4481
#16
78.51.1
78.577.4
Auto22.0
Teleop46.9
End9.6
Third
4192
#66
43.21.1
41.039.8
Auto9.7
Teleop30.2
End3.3
blue by 18.4
6615
#57
61.51.1
64.263.1
Auto13.5
Teleop47.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned