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Red143
691153.1
406878.0
1026019.8
Blue141
212969.5
873857.3
683226.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163173050100200250300350400143141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +16
15Coral scored#23
55Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
93Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#14
7L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
143Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#14
78.01.2
75.474.3
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
red by 8.5
2129
#51
69.51.3
69.668.3
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
Second
6911
#57
53.11.2
49.047.9
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
blue by 4.2
8738
#26
57.31.3
57.556.1
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
Third
19.81.2
21.720.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 6.9
6832
#75
26.71.3
25.123.8
Auto3.5
Teleop19.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed