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Red162
596838.0
903260.3
461368.4
Blue200
272449.2
857549.6
30268.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194180120140160220240260280162200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
26Coral points39
29Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +23
18Coral scored#31
63Coral points110
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
24Processor points12
32Net points20
56Algae points32
119Total teleop142
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#12
6L2#10
4L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
162Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#42
68.40.9
67.966.9
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6
red by 0.1
302
#35
68.22.1
68.870.9
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
Second
9032
#43
60.30.9
62.561.5
Auto11.7
Teleop45.3
End3.3
red by 10.7
8575
#21
49.62.1
48.650.7
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
Third
5968
#74
38.00.9
40.139.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
blue by 11.2
2724
#40
49.22.1
44.947.0
Auto8.2
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned