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Red32
743112.6
470722.1
Blue153
264119.8
287262.5
5966.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44155010020025032153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+119
Endgame+119
Fouls+121
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +95
3Coral scored#20
12Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#8
6Processor points12
4Net points32
10Algae points44
22Total teleop117
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#7
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +121
0Foul points2
32Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4707
#34
22.12.3
24.021.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.7
End3.0
blue by 44.4
59
#8
66.51.2
58.459.6
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
Second
7431
#41
12.61.4
18.216.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 50.0
2872
#10
62.51.2
56.357.5
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
Third
6.72.3
7.85.5
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 13.1
2641
#21
19.81.2
15.416.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed