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Red164
1032330.1
541024.4
248658.9
Blue106
858135.2
364624.4
58729.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13568050100150200164106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+22Teleop
+46Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
20Coral scored#20
72Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
96Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#8
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#26
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
12Foul points0
164Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#12
58.91.8
53.154.9
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
red by 23.7
8581
#18
35.22.2
33.435.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
Second
30.11.8
27.128.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End6.8
red by 5.7
3646
#28
24.41.6
18.820.4
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Third
5410
#20
24.41.8
21.423.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
red by 15.1
5872
#44
9.21.6
7.69.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed