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Red28
66869.2
264119.8
904012.5
Blue113
1001713.4
547257.2
316433.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44122010015020025028113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+67
Endgame+89
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +50
2Coral scored#13
8Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
12Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
6Foul points2
28Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#21
19.82.2
22.019.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End2.6
blue by 37.4
5472
#11
57.20.1
57.557.5
Auto14.9
Teleop36.4
End5.9
Second
9040
#32
12.53.0
15.112.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.7
End1.7
blue by 21.3
33.80.1
34.034.1
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
Third
6686
#40
9.23.0
12.29.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 4.2
13.40.1
13.413.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned