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Red155
164849.8
177191.3
886524.1
Blue115
590017.7
602345.2
100242.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18186050100150200250155115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+14Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#24
56Coral points86
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
92Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
155Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.8
83.782.9
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 46.1
6023
#32
45.21.0
36.637.6
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Second
49.80.8
47.346.5
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
red by 7.8
1002
#18
42.11.0
25.926.8
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
Third
8865
#34
24.10.8
16.415.6
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 6.5
5900
#41
17.71.0
17.918.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed