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Red74
241524.2
331831.4
446819.2
Blue109
168359.7
884921.9
521910.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797405010015074109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
53Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
74Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3318
#19
31.40.4
28.829.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
blue by 28.3
59.72.7
51.854.5
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
Second
2415
#39
24.20.4
24.324.7
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 2.4
8849
#38
21.92.7
13.015.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
Third
4468
#29
19.20.4
15.115.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
red by 8.4
5219
#44
10.82.7
3.36.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned