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Red96
948044.2
510937.8
334430.8
Blue123
183373.0
1037620.5
529333.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9510005015020096123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
83Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points2
96Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9480
#21
44.20.6
32.132.7
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
blue by 28.9
73.02.0
50.552.5
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
5109
#14
37.80.6
29.530.1
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
red by 3.9
5293
#17
33.92.0
28.730.7
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
Third
3344
#35
30.80.6
25.125.7
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
red by 10.3
20.52.0
11.713.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned