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Red111
886641.5
363537.8
411239.4
Blue157
947739.6
691964.4
694443.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105130406080120140160180200111157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
31Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +28
13Coral scored#18
46Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
74Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#10
8L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
111Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#23
41.50.4
37.337.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.5
End2.4
blue by 23.0
64.41.9
58.660.4
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
4112
#45
39.40.4
32.032.4
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
blue by 4.1
6944
#15
43.51.9
28.730.6
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
Third
3635
#33
37.80.4
25.025.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
blue by 1.8
9477
#12
39.61.9
24.526.4
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned