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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8218105010015020025063194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+125
Endgame+137
Fouls+131
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
5Coral scored#10
23Coral points48
26Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +97
5Coral scored#26
19Coral points94
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
29Total teleop126
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#11
1L2#10
2L1 · trough#5
12Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +131
6Foul points0
63Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#26
35.01.7
26.925.2
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 41.8
2974
#10
76.82.3
72.775.0
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
6829
#27
28.91.7
30.628.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
blue by 30.5
59.32.3
50.152.4
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
6705
#31
28.81.7
19.717.9
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
blue by 6.2
35.02.3
27.529.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned