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Red156
177191.3
418832.3
745149.1
Blue118
141419.0
808039.4
332938.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1648950100150200250156118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave9
8Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points63
5Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
30Processor points24
12Net points20
42Algae points44
108Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#5
9L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
156Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.4
82.983.3
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 51.9
8080
#28
39.41.3
35.436.6
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
Second
49.10.4
37.638.0
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
red by 10.6
3329
#20
38.51.3
31.132.3
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
Third
4188
#22
32.30.4
18.318.7
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
red by 13.3
1414
#43
19.01.3
21.422.7
Auto2.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed