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Red20
47017.9
682917.9
297448.8
Blue15
44689.3
100218.1
97%Model gave it3%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8320040601001201402015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop9
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
20Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.85.4
43.438.0
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 30.7
1002
#13
18.11.0
9.68.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
17.95.4
16.611.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 8.6
4468
#23
9.31.0
6.85.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
4701
#19
7.95.4
8.32.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 0.9
7.01.0
7.36.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed