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Red78
691941.1
332913.3
75149.3
Blue38
17955.7
363521.7
87615.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723802060801001207838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
49Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#2
1L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points6
78Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.12.1
36.338.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 19.4
21.70.4
22.321.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
3329
#24
13.32.1
12.814.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 7.6
1795
#27
5.70.4
5.44.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Third
7514
#28
9.32.1
10.212.3
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
red by 3.9
8761
#20
5.40.4
8.27.8
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed