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Red5
67129.0
52193.5
69057.9
Blue10
334412.3
884913.1
402612.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21450406080100510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +5
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop5
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
5Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#16
9.01.1
10.29.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
blue by 4.1
8849
#11
13.13.0
14.111.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Second
6905
#17
7.91.9
5.84.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 4.4
3344
#18
12.33.0
6.83.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
5219
#14
3.51.9
5.73.9
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 8.7
4026
#12
12.23.0
15.712.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed