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Red5
38153.7
51097.1
83212.3
Blue85
949655.5
886632.9
710411.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141010406080120140160585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+72
Endgame+72
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +66
0Coral scored#12
0Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
0Total teleop66
Reef
0L4#3
0L3#6
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points8
5Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#26
12.31.8
13.912.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
blue by 43.2
55.50.3
43.443.0
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
Second
5109
#20
7.11.8
4.72.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 25.8
32.90.3
25.324.9
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
Third
3815
#27
3.71.8
3.92.1
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
blue by 7.7
7104
#24
11.40.3
11.611.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed