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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925501001508870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
61Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
88Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.2
38.038.2
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
red by 26.2
5293
#24
24.80.8
23.023.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
4189
#16
28.60.2
23.223.4
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
red by 7.5
2415
#20
21.11.3
22.824.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Third
9522
#10
15.20.2
18.618.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 3.7
11.50.8
6.77.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed