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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34670204060801001201050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +38
1Coral scored#8
2Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
2Total teleop40
Reef
0L4#3
1L3#4
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
10Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#20
21.12.5
24.221.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 11.4
1261
#13
32.50.7
37.737.0
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
6887
#19
8.01.5
4.73.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 3.5
11.50.5
2.72.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
9561
#25
7.71.7
3.92.2
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 0.8
9086
#33
8.50.7
16.215.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed