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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082020406010012014016064144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+62
Endgame+74
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
13Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#21
33Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#12
3L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points6
64Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#23
23.81.2
16.217.3
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
blue by 27.0
50.84.0
35.039.0
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
Second
4468
#21
15.11.2
9.310.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 9.7
5293
#24
24.83.6
17.521.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Third
8872
#12
11.41.3
9.911.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
blue by 8.8
1414
#14
20.24.4
20.324.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned