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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96002040801001201403226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +16
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop16
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
32Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.20.5
8.38.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
blue by 6.6
20.81.5
16.815.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Second
11.50.5
2.32.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 3.9
8080
#28
15.42.5
19.416.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
9561
#25
7.70.5
2.22.7
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
red by 4.4
8577
#32
3.22.5
12.29.7
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed