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Red172
179247.4
870844.3
49871.8
Blue183
198662.0
156160.5
345929.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184157100200250172183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+31
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +14
27Coral scored#29
96Coral points106
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
120Total teleop134
Reef
12L4#10
10L3#10
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#40
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
172Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
71.80.3
68.468.1
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
red by 9.8
1986
#26
62.01.6
56.858.5
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
Second
1792
#48
47.40.3
47.447.1
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
blue by 13.0
1561
#27
60.51.6
58.560.1
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
Third
8708
#61
44.30.3
46.746.4
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
red by 14.9
3459
#56
29.41.6
29.431.1
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned