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Qual 912025 Galileo Division
Red122
901639.8
642930.6
153866.8
Blue181
62067.6
850345.6
643635.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146165100120180200220240122181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+53
Endgame+33
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +37
16Coral scored#23
56Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
80Total teleop117
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#7
4L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points26
122Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#64
66.81.6
64.6→63.0
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
blue by 0.8
620
#11
67.60.4
67.3→66.9
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
Second
9016
#47
39.81.6
39.4→37.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
blue by 5.8
8503
#60
45.60.4
44.7→44.3
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
Third
6429
#50
30.61.6
31.3→29.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
blue by 5.2
6436
#69
35.80.4
37.7→37.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed