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Red183
857322.7
584771.9
755878.6
Blue280
452280.7
223084.9
948383.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176257100150200300350183280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+77
Endgame+97
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave9
9Coral scored#10
47Coral points50
47Total auto59
TeleoperatedBlue +65
21Coral scored#33
76Coral points119
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#9
24Processor points30
20Net points36
44Algae points66
120Total teleop185
Reef
13L4#12
6L3#14
5L2#11
6L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#57
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points0
183Total score280

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7558
#10
78.60.2
78.378.4
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
blue by 6.3
2230
#28
84.92.0
81.283.2
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Second
71.90.2
70.670.8
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
blue by 11.4
83.32.0
80.482.3
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
Third
8573
#71
22.70.2
20.420.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 58.0
80.72.0
77.579.4
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned