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Red127
886642.3
297469.2
52195.5
Blue144
634043.7
905712.4
164845.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361096080100120160180200127144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+5Teleop
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points28
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
110Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
127Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.20.1
68.968.8
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
red by 23.5
45.70.8
44.044.7
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
42.30.1
42.041.9
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.4
43.70.8
42.042.7
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Third
5219
#18
5.50.1
5.15.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 6.9
9057
#22
12.40.8
10.611.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1