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Red69
881518.0
418820.4
692525.6
Blue70
710419.9
1037613.9
411232.2
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56593040507080906970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
50Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
69Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#21
25.61.9
23.725.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.8
End1.6
blue by 6.6
4112
#14
32.20.7
21.121.8
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Second
4188
#25
20.41.2
13.915.1
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6
red by 0.5
7104
#19
19.90.7
14.615.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
8815
#11
18.01.2
8.69.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 4.1
13.90.7
12.312.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed