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Red3
52195.5
47017.0
747017.1
Blue61
947724.2
682931.3
590017.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33620204080100120361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+52
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +46
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
0Total teleop46
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
3Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7470
#15
17.13.1
19.216.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 14.2
31.30.8
23.324.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
Second
4701
#23
7.01.9
7.35.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 17.2
9477
#10
24.20.8
12.913.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Third
5219
#18
5.51.9
4.62.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 12.4
5900
#17
17.90.8
12.813.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed