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Red72
948030.0
857717.5
402633.0
Blue71
886642.3
876110.8
810024.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4484020601001201407271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+13
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
72Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.02.0
20.222.2
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
blue by 9.3
42.30.1
43.843.8
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
Second
30.02.0
16.118.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 5.1
8100
#24
24.90.1
21.221.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Third
17.52.0
6.18.0
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 6.7
8761
#26
10.80.1
7.06.9
Auto0.9
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed